Land Use and Land Cover Change Impacts on Water Availability and Crop Yields in the Command Area of Khageri Irrigation Project, Chitwan.
Student: Roman Devkota
Supervisor: Mr. Pratik Bajracharya
Submitted Date:
August, 2026
Abstract
Water availability, agricultural production, and the sustainability of irrigation systems are all
significantly impacted by Land Use/Land Cover Change (LULCC). This study evaluates the
effects of land use and land cover changes on crop yield, cropping patterns, and water
availability in the Khageri irrigation project's catchment and command region. In order to
evaluate temporal changes and their impact on irrigation-dependent agriculture, the study
used a combination of remote sensing, Geographic Information System (GIS), field
observation, household questionnaires, and statistical analysis. An error matrix and Kappa
coefficient were used to assess the accuracy of the classification of satellite imagery from
various eras into main land-use and land-cover classifications. Field-based data gathered from
farmers and other stakeholders was used to evaluate changes in water availability and their
correlation with agricultural productivity. The association between variations in agricultural
productivity, cropping patterns, and water availability was investigated using statistical
methods. In addition to identifying significant changes in agricultural land, built-up areas,
forests, water bodies, and other land-cover categories, the results should show the scope and
pattern of LULCC in the research area. The study also assesses how crop yield and the
selection and intensity of cropping patterns within the command area have been impacted by
shifts in land use and water availability. The study offers a comprehensive understanding of
how water resources, agricultural systems, and land-use patterns interact. In the Khageri
irrigation command area, the results can help with effective water resource management,
sustainable land-use planning, and better irrigation management. Policymakers, irrigation
managers, and local stakeholders can use the study's valuable information to build strategies
for improving agricultural productivity and irrigation systems' long-term sustainability.
Keywords
Land Use/Land Cover Change, Khageri Irrigation Project, Crop Productivity, Cropping Pattern, GIS, Remote Sensing, Irrigation Management