Analysis of Causes of Time Overrun
in Bridge Projects Under
Motorable Local Roads Bridge Programme
Student: Sabin Kasula
Supervisor: Er. Ramesh Gnawali
Submitted Date:
December, 2024
Abstract
Time overrun in infrastructure development projects, especially in bridge construction, are
a persistent challenge, leading to increased overall project cost, dissatisfaction among the
public, delayed socio-economic benefits, disputes and litigations among the participating
parties. This study assessed the time performance and general scenario of time overrun,
analyzed the causes and suggested possible mitigation measures to minimize time overrun
in local roads bridge projects in Nepal, focusing on Motorable Local Roads Bridge
Programme Phase IV (MLRBP-IV) as a case study.
The research employed both qualitative and quantitative methods, collecting project details
of 136 completed local roads bridge projects and gathering perceptions from 165
respondents via a Google form survey using a 5-point Likert scale. Descriptive analysis was
conducted to access the time performance and scenario of time overrun. Principal
Component Analysis (PCA) was used to analyze and prioritize the causes of time overrun.
Thematic analysis through Key Informants Interview (KII) was conducted to suggest the
possible mitigation measures for major causes of time overrun.
This study revealed that among 136 studied bridge projects, only 32.35% of the projects
were completed within the initial contract duration, while 67.65% experienced delays. On
average, projects exceeded their planned timelines by 43%, with a mean completion
duration of 845.68 days compared to the mean allocated duration of 592.24 days. Time
overruns were remarkable in mountain region projects, with 83.33% of them delayed,
compared to 68% in the hill region and 65.45% in the terai region. Foundation type
influenced delays, with projects using open foundations exhibiting the highest time
overruns, while other foundation types showed better on-time completion rates.
The percentages of normal bids and low bids was found to be 44.12% and 55.58%
respectively with the threshold for low bids i.e. average percentage of bidding being 20.92%
below the engineer’s estimate. 77.63 % of low bids and 55.00 % of normal bids were found
to witness different degree of time overrun, indicating low bid projects being more prone to
time overrun than normal bid projects.
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Based on PCA, the study identified twenty-four major causes of time overrun and
categorized into nine components: External Constraints and Disruptions, Professional and
Technical Shortcomings, Organizational Inefficiencies, Contractors Management and
Financial Constraints, Contractors Competence and Practice Deficiencies,
Unscientific/Unrealistic Contract Duration, Regional topography and access to site,
Ineffective delay penalties and Inadequate Pre execution Preparation.
Allocation of rational contract duration, detailed site investigation, provision of pool of
experts of employers, technical capacity building of technical officials, predictable and
performance based transfer mechanism of project staff and timely actions against under-
performing contractors with adherence to contractual clauses and provision of Public
Procurement Act (PPA) and Public Procurement Regulations (PPR) are the essential
mitigation measures to be implemented to minimize time overrun and enhance project
efficiency.
Keywords
Time overrun, Bridge projects, Time performance, Contract duration,
Mitigation measures, MLRBP-IV